Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000161 0.000178 0.000197 0.000219 0.000243 0.000269 0.000300
2025-08-03 0.000130 0.000156 0.000186 0.000223 0.000269 0.000323 0.000393
2025-08-10 0.000109 0.000137 0.000173 0.000220 0.000282 0.000361 0.000470
2025-08-17 0.000094 0.000125 0.000164 0.000218 0.000294 0.000396 0.000546
2025-08-24 0.000083 0.000113 0.000154 0.000215 0.000302 0.000425 0.000615
2025-08-31 0.000073 0.000102 0.000144 0.000207 0.000303 0.000443 0.000671
2025-09-07 0.000066 0.000096 0.000140 0.000208 0.000314 0.000477 0.000753
2025-09-14 0.000062 0.000093 0.000138 0.000211 0.000330 0.000520 0.000854
2025-09-21 0.000057 0.000086 0.000132 0.000207 0.000333 0.000542 0.000924
2025-09-28 0.000051 0.000079 0.000123 0.000199 0.000329 0.000551 0.000971
2025-10-05 0.000048 0.000077 0.000122 0.000202 0.000343 0.000592 0.001080
2025-10-12 0.000046 0.000075 0.000122 0.000207 0.000361 0.000642 0.001213
2025-10-19 0.000043 0.000071 0.000118 0.000206 0.000369 0.000676 0.001324
2025-10-26 0.000041 0.000069 0.000117 0.000209 0.000386 0.000728 0.001481
2025-11-02 0.000038 0.000065 0.000113 0.000206 0.000390 0.000759 0.001597
2025-11-09 0.000035 0.000062 0.000109 0.000204 0.000397 0.000794 0.001730
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.000058 0.000105 0.000201 0.000400 0.000820 0.001845
2025-11-23 0.000030 0.000055 0.000100 0.000194 0.000395 0.000831 0.001925
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.000053 0.000098 0.000194 0.000405 0.000875 0.002094
2025-12-07 0.000028 0.000052 0.000098 0.000197 0.000422 0.000936 0.002317
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000049 0.000094 0.000194 0.000422 0.000959 0.002446
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000046 0.000089 0.000186 0.000414 0.000960 0.002513
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000045 0.000089 0.000189 0.000429 0.001020 0.002758